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The ransomware diligence is flourish , not losing .
Despite various law enforcement wins against ransomware actors , like thesweeping takedown of LockBitandthe seizure of Radar , hackers continue to reap the rewards of these data - thievery attacks — and 2024 looks set to be their most profitable year to date .
That ’s consort to Allan Liska , a ransomware expert who serves as a threat intelligence psychoanalyst at cybersecurity firm Recorded Future . In an audience with TechCrunch in London in the beginning this month , Liska confirm that 2024 is on track to be another record book - breaking yr for ransomware — with every bit criminal record - break ransoms paid by dupe to hacker .
“ The bend is going to flatten out a little bit , which I guess is good news . But a record - breaking year is still a phonograph record - breaking year , ” Liska told TechCrunch . “ We ’ve also this yr , for the first sentence that I ’m cognisant of , had four eight - physique ransoms paid . ”
One of these eight - figure sums wasthe $ 22 million ransom money that Change Healthcarepaid to the Russian cybercrime gang ALPHV following the theft ofhighly sensitive medical information related to hundreds of millions of Americans . What followed , Liska said , was rearing in - fighting between the ransomware radical and its affiliate , which carry out the hack on ALPHV ’s behalf .
“ If you wanted a reality show , this was it , ” say Liska .
This apparent scrappiness is only potential to worsen as younger threat actors join the ransomware raid , as we ’ve seen with highly skilled and financially motivated hackers like Lapsus$ and , more of late , Scattered Spider . This sluttish - cockle group of predominantly teenage , native English - speaking hackers has comport out some of the most fatal cyberattacks in history , such asthe rupture of MGM Hotelsand thesuspected linksto therecent cyberattack on Transport for London .
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The disjointed nature of these attackers is evidenced by the increment of datum theft - only flack , which have increased by more than 30 % in 2024 , according to Liska . “ That is up importantly from just a couple of years ago , ” he told TechCrunch . “ A mint of the newer menace actor just do n’t want to dole out with encryption , decipherment , or anything like that , ” refer to attack that exfiltrate huge amounts of stolen data .
While the tenaciousness of teenage hackers has already led to a rising slope in extortion - only attacks , that might be just the tip of the iceberg . Liska warn that these scrappy terror thespian could opt to skip datum theft entirely and decide to slip money directly from cryptocurrency exchanges instead . Worse , Liska warns that the conflict against ransomware can shed into veridical - world violence , describing escalatory extortion maneuver by group like Scattered Spider , which use real - world information against their targets if their victims say they wo n’t pay a ransom .
The termination of the upcoming U.S. election could also have a major effect on the future of ransomware .
Liska notes that the global ransomware taskforce set up under the Biden governance has been a “ Brobdingnagian welfare ” to the fight against hackers , thanks to an increase in the communion of intelligence between res publica . Liska said that there is “ a in effect chance that drop dead aside ” if the U.S. no longer shares intelligence with its allies under a successive Trump administration , which has predict wide - scale leaf government deregulation .
“ I do n’t think that ’s something we ’re prepared for — and we could see even more of an acceleration of ransomware attacks if law of nature enforcement is less capable to do their job , ” enunciate Liska .
Under the premature Trump giving medication , “ we saw WannaCry and NotPetya , and there was no straightaway reaction , ” said Liska
What ’s the resolution ? According to Liska , whosaid at TechCrunch Disrupt 2023that banning ransomware defrayment was n’t the solution , doing so is now the only answer .
“ We ’ve had 20 - plus constabulary enforcement action at law just this year against ransomware , and that is marvellous . But if we ’re going to fertilize eight - public figure ransom payments to these attackers then that modify the motivator model . You might get arrested , but on the other manus , you might get an eight - anatomy ransom payment , that ’s a challenge that is hard to resist . ”
“ My answer is : ban ransom payments , which is a terrible answer , but it may be the least - unfit solvent that we have , ” Liska add .