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In a insurance policy paper published Wednesday , former Google CEO Eric Schmidt , Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang , and Center for AI Safety Director Dan Hendrycks said that the U.S. should not pursue a Manhattan Project - fashion push to grow AI scheme with “ superhuman ” tidings , also bang as AGI .
The paper , titled “ Superintelligence Strategy , ” asserts that an aggressive dictation by the U.S. to exclusively operate superintelligent AI organisation could prompt savage revenge from China , potentially in the var. of a cyberattack , which could destabilize external relations .
“ [ A ] Manhattan Project [ for AGI ] assumes that competitor will acquiesce to an imperishable imbalance or omnicide rather than move to prevent it , ” the co - author write . “ What begin as a push for a superweapon and global dominance risks prompting hostile countermeasures and intensify tension , thereby undermining the very stability the scheme purports to secure . ”
Co - authored by three extremely influential figures in America ’s AI industry , the paper issue forth just a few calendar month after aU.S. congressional direction proposed a “ Manhattan Project - style”effort to fund AGI development , mold after America ’s atomic dud program in the forties . U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright recently said the U.S. is at “ the start of a raw Manhattan Project ” on AI while standing in front of a supercomputer internet site alongside OpenAI co - founder Greg Brockman .
The Superintelligence Strategy theme challenge the estimation , defend by several American policy and industry leaders in recent calendar month , that a administration - second program follow up on AGI is the best way to vie with China .
In the legal opinion of Schmidt , Wang , and Hendrycks , the U.S. is in something of an AGI draw not unalike tomutually assured demolition . In the same way that spheric powerfulness do not seek monopolies over nuclear arm — which could trigger a pre-emptive smash from an adversary — Schmidt and his co - authors argue that the U.S. should be cautious about racing toward dominating extremely powerful AI organization .
While likening AI systems to atomic weapons may sound extreme , world loss leader already view AI to be a top military advantage . Already , thePentagon says that AI is helping speed up the military ’s kill chain .
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Schmidt et al . preface a concept they call Mutual Assured AI Malfunction ( MAIM ) , in which governments could proactively invalid threatening AI projects rather than wait for adversary to weaponize AGI .
Schmidt , Wang , and Hendrycks propose that the U.S. shift its focussing from “ win the race to superintelligence ” to break methods thatdeter other countriesfrom creating superintelligent AI . The co - authors argue the government should “ enlarge [ its ] armoury of cyberattacks to disable threatening AI project ” controlled by other commonwealth as well as limit point adversaries ’ access to advanced AI chips and open source models .
The co - author identify a dichotomy that has diddle out in the AI policy world . There are the “ doomers , ” who think that ruinous outcomes from AI development are a foregone close and advocate for commonwealth slowing AI progress . On the other side , there are the “ ostriches , ” who believe nations should accelerate AI developing and basically just hope it ’ll all go out .
The report proposes a third way : a measured approach to developing AGI that prioritizes defensive strategies .
That scheme is particularly famed coming from Schmidt , who has previously been vocal about the motivation for the U.S. to compete sharply with China in developing advanced AI systems . Just a few months ago , Schmidt issue an op - ed sayingDeepSeek mark a turn dot in America ’s AI race with China .
The Trump organisation seems dead fix on advertise ahead in America ’s AI development . However , as the Colorado - authors observe , America ’s decisions around AGI do n’t exist in a vacuum .
As the world watches America push the limit of AI , Schmidt and his carbon monoxide - authors suggest it may be wiser to take a defensive access .
